Statistics Profile

Sophia Yao

2000

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	980	638 - 1321	980	1423
Épée	Direct elimination	1240	542 - 1937	1240	1909
Foil	Pool	1207	636 - 1777	922	1207
Foil	Direct elimination	1431	509 - 2352	1431	1583

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.