Statistics Profile

Sophia Yao

2000

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1068	589 - 1546	1068	1423
Épée	Direct elimination	1356	440 - 2271	1356	1909
Foil	Pool	922	79 - 1764	922	922
Foil	Direct elimination	1583	326 - 2839	1583	1583

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.