Statistics Profile

Cameron Clarkin

2013

Des Moines Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1040	408 - 1671	1040	1040
Épée	Direct elimination	1436	396 - 2475	1436	1436
Foil	Pool	1724	1326 - 2121	1724	2401
Foil	Direct elimination	1405	638 - 2171	1405	1899

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.