Statistics Profile

Rebecca Winters

2005

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2508	1528 - 3487	2508	2674
Épée	Direct elimination	1633	484 - 2781	1633	1691
Foil	Pool	885	137 - 1632	885	885
Foil	Direct elimination	1621	424 - 2817	1621	1621

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.