Statistics Profile

Valen Lee

2009

Queens Fencing Club LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1187	912 - 1461	1101	1643
Foil	Direct elimination	1120	570 - 1669	971	1463
Saber	Pool	1569	1188 - 1949	1569	1731
Saber	Direct elimination	2252	1368 - 3135	2252	2252

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.