Statistics Profile

Seif Elghayesh

2004

SCAD- Atlanta Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3161	2178 - 4143	3161	3161
Épée	Direct elimination	3212	2130 - 4293	3212	3212
Foil	Pool	2531	2131 - 2930	2410	2597
Foil	Direct elimination	2831	2223 - 3438	1880	2831

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.