Statistics Profile

Lucciana Mendez

2016

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	695	8 - 1381	695	695
Épée	Direct elimination	1435	279 - 2590	1435	1435
Foil	Pool	155	0 - 545	97	562
Foil	Direct elimination	1138	492 - 1783	1134	1528

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.