Statistics Profile

Liev Wiegmann

2015

West Berkeley Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	769	293 - 1244	769	1132
Foil	Direct elimination	1099	284 - 1913	1099	1948
Saber	Pool	371	0 - 870	371	684
Saber	Direct elimination	1440	403 - 2476	1440	1789

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.