Statistics Profile

Carson Phillips

2004

Fencing Club at Auburn University

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1318	1109 - 1526	774	1318
Épée	Direct elimination	1894	1570 - 2217	1621	1894
Foil	Pool	1161	421 - 1900	1161	1161
Foil	Direct elimination	1633	448 - 2817	1633	1633

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.