Statistics Profile

Twila Perlas

2011

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1176	769 - 1582	1176	1588
Épée	Direct elimination	1426	379 - 2472	1426	1693
Foil	Pool	649	272 - 1025	388	769
Foil	Direct elimination	1105	459 - 1750	1105	1796

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.