Statistics Profile

Simon Grinfeld

2012

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	383	0 - 981	383	689
Épée	Direct elimination	1705	742 - 2667	1705	1907
Foil	Pool	1425	490 - 2359	1425	1425

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.