Statistics Profile

Kangdi Bao

2006

University of Chicago Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1630	1325 - 1934	1630	1976
Épée	Direct elimination	1886	1327 - 2444	1777	2180
Foil	Pool	961	81 - 1840	961	961
Foil	Direct elimination	2699	1213 - 4184	2699	2699

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.