Statistics Profile

Joseph LeBlanc

2009

Northshore Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1072	448 - 1695	1072	1072
Foil	Direct elimination	1564	399 - 2728	1564	1564
Saber	Pool	1413	557 - 2268	1413	1413
Saber	Direct elimination	1884	577 - 3190	1884	1884

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.