Statistics Profile

Odin Peng

2011

Blade Runner Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1204	881 - 1526	522	1262
Épée	Direct elimination	1370	756 - 1983	1342	2074
Foil	Pool	810	505 - 1114	702	1084
Foil	Direct elimination	1178	661 - 1694	1083	1614
Saber	Pool	1790	853 - 2726	1790	2079
Saber	Direct elimination	1537	405 - 2668	1537	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.