Statistics Profile

Ethan Wu

2012

Valkyrie Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1249	630 - 1867	1249	1249
Foil	Direct elimination	1456	252 - 2659	1456	1456
Saber	Pool	1984	1182 - 2785	1984	1984
Saber	Direct elimination	2258	1128 - 3387	2258	2258

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.