Statistics Profile

Thomas DeMonte

1999

Badger Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1082	661 - 1502	1082	2026
Épée	Direct elimination	1063	90 - 2035	1063	1653
Foil	Pool	1921	1005 - 2836	1921	1921

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.