Statistics Profile

Owen Miller

2007

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1300	716 - 1883	1300	1300
Épée	Direct elimination	1357	284 - 2429	1357	1357
Foil	Pool	1479	994 - 1963	992	1479
Foil	Direct elimination	1670	472 - 2867	1670	1670

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.