Statistics Profile

christopher castaneda

1999

Salt City Swords Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2235	1510 - 2959	2235	2235
Épée	Direct elimination	2632	1566 - 3697	2632	2632
Foil	Pool	3232	2300 - 4163	3055	3232
Foil	Direct elimination	2586	1687 - 3484	2308	2586

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.