Statistics Profile

Kayla Spell

2006
Appalachian State University Fencing Club All-American Fencing Academy
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1770 964 - 2575 1770 1770
Épée Direct elimination 1612 361 - 2862 1612 1612
Foil Pool 1626 648 - 2603 1626 1626
Foil Direct elimination 1397 260 - 2533 1397 1397
Saber Pool 834 270 - 1397 834 834
Saber Direct elimination 1559 639 - 2478 1559 1559

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.