Statistics Profile

Kyler Chase

2005

Salt City Swords Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1154	259 - 2048	1154	1154
Épée	Direct elimination	1954	684 - 3223	1954	1954
Saber	Pool	862	42 - 1681	862	862
Saber	Direct elimination	2042	724 - 3359	2042	2042

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.