Cobra Challenge Div 1A/Div 2 ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Jersey City, NJ - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	NAVARRO Ava B.	2%	13%	31%	33%	17%	3%
2	SLACKMAN Valerie	-	3%	15%	33%	33%	14%	2%
3	ALDADAH Huda M.	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
3	KIM Diane E.	-	-	2%	13%	34%	36%	14%
5	NI Emma	-	2%	12%	30%	37%	18%
6	BINDAS Blodwen S.	-	1%	8%	25%	36%	24%	6%
7	KULKARNI Diya	-	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
8	LEE Olive	7%	28%	38%	22%	6%	1%
9	LIN Jessica Y.	-	-	-	-	5%	31%	63%
10	LONG Cindy	-	-	1%	8%	26%	41%	24%
11	YOON Julia J.	2%	11%	27%	35%	21%	5%
12	YEE-WADSWORTH Sofia L.	-	1%	6%	23%	40%	27%	3%
13	COBERT Helen G.	-	2%	11%	29%	35%	19%	4%
14	SHI Angela L.	16%	42%	30%	10%	2%	-	-
15	LIN Julia L.	4%	20%	34%	28%	11%	2%
16	DROVETSKY Alexandra M.	-	1%	8%	27%	41%	23%
17	GILLIS Alexandra G.	-	12%	34%	34%	16%	3%	-
18	WILLIAMS Claudine S.	-	1%	5%	21%	36%	28%	8%
19	KANG Dahyun	-	1%	9%	32%	40%	16%	2%
20	BENATER Lauren	1%	10%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-
21	KOWALSKY Rachel A.	1%	6%	23%	38%	26%	6%
22	ZHAO Yingying	6%	26%	37%	23%	6%	1%
23	CHAN Elizabeth	1%	8%	25%	37%	24%	6%
24	LIN Katie Y.	-	3%	17%	36%	33%	10%
24	HUH Anna	6%	24%	35%	25%	9%	1%
26	TOLBA Salma	6%	23%	35%	26%	9%	1%
27	PYO Yunice	1%	6%	21%	35%	29%	9%
28	SHAO Ariel	30%	43%	22%	5%	1%	-
29	RABEL Brenna V.	-	6%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%
30	YAO Jillian	-	3%	18%	39%	31%	9%	1%
31	TOMASELLO Olivia E.	9%	30%	36%	20%	5%	-
32	SMUK Daria A.	5%	22%	35%	27%	9%	1%
33	SZEWC Alexandra	1%	23%	42%	27%	7%	1%	-
34	CORDERO Allison	27%	46%	22%	4%	-	-	-
35	DEVEREAUX Kate E.	12%	32%	34%	17%	4%	-
36	SIBLEY Elisabeth J.	1%	8%	28%	36%	21%	6%	1%
37	ROWLAND May	36%	47%	15%	2%	-	-	-
38	MOK Chloe R.	36%	43%	17%	3%	-	-	-
39	HOSANAGAR Inchara	91%	8%	-	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.