2022 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, June 5, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
2 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 40%
3 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 9%
5 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
7 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 18%
8 RICUTA Laurentiu Florentin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
9 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
10 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
11 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
12 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 99% 86% 45% 10% 1%
13 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% -
14 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 99% 91% 56% 15% 1%
15 SHA Michael 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
16 MATEI Daniel 100% 100% 92% 62% 17% 2%
17 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
18 FENG Du 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
19 HARE John R. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
20 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
21 ZOU Xianyang 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
22 MASE Orin 100% 96% 75% 33% 4% -
22 JIANG Ryan 100% 77% 33% 6% - -
24 GERSEN Jacob 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
25 XIE Brandon 100% 79% 30% 5% - -
26 BORGAL Cameron 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
27 MARINI Davide 100% 91% 51% 15% 2% - -
28 MILGRAM Aaron 100% 53% 11% 1% - -
29 ZHANG Roland 100% 63% 15% 1% - -
30 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
31 COHEN David A. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.