Junior Olympic Championships

Junior Women's Foil

Friday, February 18, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
2 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 7%
3 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
3 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48% 11%
5 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
6 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
7 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
8 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
9 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
10 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
11 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
12 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
13 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
14 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
15 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
16 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 96% 62% 17%
17 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
18 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
19 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
19 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
21 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 14%
22 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38%
23 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
24 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
25 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
26 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
27 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
28 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
29 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
30 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
31 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
32 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 99% 85% 44% 12% 1% -
33 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
34 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
35 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 98% 74% 26%
36 PENG Amber L. 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
37 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
38 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
38 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
38 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
41 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
42 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
43 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
44 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
45 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
46 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
47 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
48 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
49 MOLHO Sofia 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
50 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 3%
51 YU Seneca 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
52 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 73% 25%
53 REN Olivia Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 17%
54 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 4%
55 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
56 WU Julianna Y. 100% 100% 95% 67% 28% 5% -
57 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
58 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
59 YU Lauren C. 100% 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
60 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12% 1%
61 MI Aileen 100% 100% 95% 66% 20% 3% -
62 OH Erin H. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
63 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
64 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 15%
65 HE Fenghuan 100% 100% 99% 89% 44% 8%
66 DUAN Konnie 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4% -
67 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
68 ROY Layla 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 3% -
69 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
70 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
71 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 30%
72 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
73 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
74 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 99% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
75 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
76 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
77 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 91% 50% 12% 1% -
78 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
79 SHIH Diane 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
80 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
81 FERNANDES Thea 100% 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
82 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
83 TAKAGI Hikaru G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
84 KONG Olivia 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
85 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% -
86 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 98% 84% 47% 11% 1%
87 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 29%
88 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2%
89 PANT Anisha 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2%
90 MICHAELSEN Emily 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
91 KETTELLE Molly 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% -
92 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
93 LEE Ariana 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
94 CHENG Lydia A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
95 LUO Sandra J. 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
95 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
97 MEI Sarah 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
98 DING Abigail 100% 100% 98% 79% 34% 7% -
99 WELBORN Calissa 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% - -
99 LAMBERT Mahala 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
101 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
102 TOBIN Brean 100% 94% 41% 8% 1% - -
103 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
104 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
105 HUANG NATALIE 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
106 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22% 2%
106 MI Anning 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
108 WU Kyra 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
109 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
110 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 1%
111 LUU Shanon K. 100% 100% 99% 85% 51% 16% 2%
112 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3% -
113 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 100% 84% 28% 4% -
114 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 98% 76% 17% 1% -
115 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 9%
116 GU EMILY 100% 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
117 FUNG Emma 100% 100% 90% 43% 9% 1% -
118 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% -
119 CHO Gracie L. 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
120 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 18% 2%
121 YEH Marissa E. 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 4% -
122 WONG Sophia M. 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 5% -
123 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
124 KOROL Dana 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
125 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
126 COOPER Piper W. 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
126 STRUGAR Steliana 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
128 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 97% 52% 12% 1% - -
129 WEBB Ella 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1% -
130 XIANG Emma 100% 98% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
131 DONDERIS Hannah E. 100% 98% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
132 HAN Crystal 100% 91% 52% 15% 2% - -
133 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
134 TRAN Ava D. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
135 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% - -
136 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
137 SCARLETT Skye 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
138 RASO Olivia 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% - -
139 YU Jaime L. 100% 99% 87% 42% 8% 1% -
140 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
141 PAVE Claire 100% 92% 51% 15% 2% - -
141 PARK Leah 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
143 PENG Serena 100% 91% 43% 10% 1% - -
144 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
145 ZHANG Selena 100% 80% 23% 2% - - -
146 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
147 QUINN Anna 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
148 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 94% 28% 2% - -
149 SHAH Suhani 100% 55% 9% - - -
150 BEAVER Hannah 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
151 FUNG Vera 100% 99% 65% 22% 4% - -
152 LEE Fiona E. 100% 86% 36% 7% 1% - -
153 YIN Helen 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
154 JIANG Yangying (Amanda) 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
155 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 82% 23% 3% - - -
156 ROLOFF Katarina M. 100% 85% 39% 8% 1% - -
157 PRIETO Sofia M. 100% 100% 96% 66% 21% 3% -
158 BHAN Zala 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% - -
159 HSIUNG Samantha 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
160 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 59% 11% 1% - - -
161 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 77% 32% 6% - - -
162 FURST Chloe 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
163 SHUM Maya 100% 74% 30% 6% - - -
164 NORTH Zoe M. 100% 75% 16% 1% - - -
164 FERGUSON Aliya 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
166 LURIX Elise 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
167 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
168 CHOI Kailyn 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
169 ABDULLAHI Salma 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% - -
170 NEWMAN Ariel 100% 64% 11% - - -
171 BROCE Lilianna 100% 10% - - - -
172 NICKOLOV Nora 100% 64% 14% 1% - - -
173 DENYSIUK Sumajja 100% 37% 4% - - - -
174 MURDOCH ROY Grace 100% 39% 3% - - - -
174 BURTON Sequoia 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
174 CABALU Alaina 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
177 KO Claire 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
178 NIRGUDE Siddhi 100% 15% - - - - -
179 SHUM Elizabeth 100% 88% 45% 12% 1% - -
179 KUNDU TRISHA 100% 31% 4% - - - -
181 HAMMER anya 100% 27% 2% - - - -
181 BEAVER Kaitlyn 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% - -
181 LAYE Isabella 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
184 MARTIN Adriana 100% 18% 1% - - - -
184 LAY Apollonia 100% 99% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
186 BANNISTER Amelia 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
186 KAPOOR Saanvi 100% 37% 3% - - - -
188 RAYLE Ava 100% 6% - - - - -
189 PAULSEN Amy 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
189 OWINGS Anna 100% 11% - - - - -
189 SHANGGUAN Xiaotian 100% 34% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.