Junior Olympic Championships

Junior Women's Épée

Saturday, February 19, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KETKAR Ketki - - - - 2% 22% 76%
2 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
3 LIN Jessica Y. - - - - 1% 18% 80%
3 CHIN Isabella - - - 3% 20% 45% 32%
5 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
6 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - - 5% 34% 60%
7 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - - - 7% 35% 58%
8 WANG Elizabeth - - 1% 6% 27% 43% 22%
9 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - - - - 5% 31% 64%
10 CHU Audrey - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
11 LEE Michelle J. - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
12 PADHYE Tanishka - 2% 14% 41% 36% 7%
13 FALLON Kyle R. - - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
14 CHEN Lefu - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
15 MCLANE Lauren - - 1% 8% 33% 42% 15%
16 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
17 KUZNETSOV Victoria - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
18 GU Sarah - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
19 LEE Sumin - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
20 WANG Karen - - - - 5% 31% 64%
21 LIU Christina A. - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 20%
22 WU Amelia - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
23 PEHLIVANI Zara - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
24 ZHANG Tina Tianyi - - 3% 21% 47% 26% 3%
25 RUSSELL Renata - 1% 6% 28% 42% 21% 2%
26 MEHROTRA Anya - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
27 YU Nicole J. - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
28 MAO Amy - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
29 LU Junyao - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
30 YAO Melinda - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
31 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
32 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
33 WATRALL Christina - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
34 RUNIONS Emersyn - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
35 NGUYEN Tallulah - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
36 SWENSON Nikita G. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% < 1%
37 HAFEEZ Hania - 2% 11% 30% 38% 17% 2%
38 KETKAR Mallika - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
39 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - - 1% 12% 38% 38% 11%
40 JOYCE Michaela - - - - 2% 21% 76%
41 ZUHARS Renee A. - - 2% 14% 38% 35% 10%
42 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
43 CHOI Eunice - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
44 WANG Nora - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
45 BEI Karen - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
46 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
47 GAJJALA Sharika R. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
48 JAKEL Sophia N. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
49 WEBER Nora 1% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2%
50 KORFONTA Jolie - 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
51 COBERT Helen G. - - 4% 21% 39% 29% 6%
52 REID Sobia - - 5% 24% 40% 26% 5%
53 LIN Katie Y. - - - 5% 22% 46% 27%
54 LONADIER Keira - 1% 21% 49% 24% 4% -
55 RANDLEMAN Teresa - 3% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
56 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
57 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
58 LURYE Sarah - - - 7% 34% 47% 12%
59 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
60 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 28% 3%
61 WEISS Talia L. - - 2% 16% 40% 36% 6%
62 WITTE Vera - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
63 PACHECO Naomi - 5% 49% 37% 8% 1% -
64 XUE Alanna L. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
65 TYLER Syd - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
66 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
67 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
68 REID Anousheh - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24% 2%
69 ZHANG Victoria R. - - 2% 13% 35% 40% 10%
70 CAPELLUA Mariasole - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
71 PAPADAKIS Lily 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
72 KIM Elizabeth Y. 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5%
73 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
74 NGUYEN Kira - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18% 2%
75 REMEZA Alissa 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
76 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. - 2% 15% 40% 33% 9% 1%
77 LEE Natasha - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
78 HAU Olivia 7% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
79 GUMAGAY Erika L. - 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
80 SMOTRITSKY Mia - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 5%
81 KIM Zoe L. - 1% 5% 18% 36% 31% 9%
81 MUN Brianna K. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
83 MUELLER Emma M. 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
84 ROBERTSON Lily - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
85 AHUJA Arianna - 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
86 POPOVICI Alina B. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
87 DU Shunyi（Wendy） 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 4% -
88 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21% 1%
89 NELSON Grace E. 14% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
90 CHENG Ava 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
91 GUJJA Misha 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
92 LUO Ashley - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
93 LEUNG Natalie - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
94 DOUGLAS Julia F. - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
95 JAKEL Alysa C. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
95 BARBARA Camille 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
97 DESAI Meera P. - - 5% 23% 42% 27% 2%
98 KENT Elizabeth J. - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
99 PEELER Julia 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
100 LAVERY Chloe K. - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 7%
100 SUN Renee R. 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
102 BARNOW Sasha 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
103 DONDISCH Sophia - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
104 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
105 MALDONADO Pilar I. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
105 BENZAN India 6% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
107 HESS Heidi J. - 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
108 BURN Lauren M. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
109 FELAND Alexandra 1% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
110 ZHANG mickey 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
111 ZIGALO Elizabeth - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
112 LAN Alice S. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
113 LEANG Priscilla Y. - 2% 17% 43% 33% 5%
114 MYLER AnneMarie - 1% 10% 37% 40% 12%
115 LIU Nicole 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
116 SMUK Daria A. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
116 LEE Olivia 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
118 LU Samantha R. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
118 WONG Alexandra R. 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
120 ZENG Katrina 3% 26% 42% 24% 5% - -
121 HICKS Grace 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
122 KIM Jayna 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
123 BYBEE Lucy J. 3% 23% 42% 26% 5% - -
123 PARK Judy 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
123 YU Sheerea 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
126 CHAN Elizabeth 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
127 SAAL Anna 4% 25% 43% 23% 5% -
127 YAO Yilin 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
129 NEISINGH Isabelle 2% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
130 ELSTON Sophia 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
131 CHI Chelsea 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
131 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
133 CALDERA Lexi I. - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
134 ANDERSON Claire 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
135 MESCHIA Maggie 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 3% -
135 ZHU-HILL Alice A. 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
137 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
138 SANDERS Charlotte 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
139 MAGALSKI Mary 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
140 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
141 KELLY Jenna 3% 38% 43% 14% 2% -
142 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 1% 25% 46% 23% 4% -
143 CHIRASHNYA Noya 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
144 WITTER Catherine A. 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
145 MAGAN Sofia 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
146 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
146 LEE Yedda - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
148 MING Cynthia - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
149 ENRILE Erica 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
150 SHERTZ Kira E. 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
151 MARTYNOVA Diana 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
152 PANT Anisha 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
153 TYTELL Elizabeth 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
154 LEWIS Rachel 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
155 SAINT-PHARD Shana 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
156 HAFEEZ Hiba - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
157 LIN Ashley 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
158 DOERR Zoe 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
159 PATIL Amulya 1% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
160 DUONG Zoey 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
160 MACEDON Gianna 25% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
162 KIZILBASH Zara 2% 17% 40% 32% 8% 1% -
163 MCKENNA Analise 66% 30% 4% - - - -
164 GITHENS Gracyn J. 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
165 NGUYEN Audrey 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
166 MEWES Katie M. 46% 43% 10% 1% - -
167 NGUYEN Jolie T. 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
168 PEARSON Heila 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
169 OPERARIO Abigail Z. - 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% -
170 SINHA Zara 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
171 PARKS Eliana 9% 43% 36% 11% 1% - -
172 GAO Judy - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
173 BUSH emma 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
174 CHANG Celine A. 4% 25% 43% 22% 5% - -
175 DALEY Keira 21% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
175 LEVERETT Corrina 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
177 NASON Amelia 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
178 POON Desiree 36% 45% 17% 2% - - -
179 NEMETH Katherine 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
180 PATELLI Anna Alice 67% 29% 4% - - - -
180 SPRINGER Sierra 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
182 LI Alisha 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1% -
182 MURDOCH ROY Grace 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
184 CHANG Ella 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
185 BARCLAY Khyri 6% 37% 41% 14% 2% - -
185 PEARSON Arwa 62% 32% 5% - - - -
187 PENHOET Evelyn 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
188 SHEIN Evita 21% 47% 26% 5% - - -
189 HOULIHAN Esther 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
190 YOU Joyce 72% 27% 1% - - - -
191 DUAN Annie S. 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% 1% -
192 STOECKEL Sofia I. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
193 LEE Samantha X. 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
193 WHITE Zara 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
195 HABERMAN Hailey 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
196 OLORVIDA Isabella 67% 28% 4% - - -
197 KANEVSKY Samantha 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% - -
198 GULLY Wren 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
198 EGENOLF Gabriella 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
200 BALSKUS Sophia 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
201 YOU Isabel B. 4% 30% 44% 19% 3% - -
201 SIMHADRI Meghana 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
201 ARAYE Nasro 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
204 LI Charlotte 7% 35% 38% 17% 3% - -
205 FRANCIS Elena 63% 31% 5% - - - -
206 DAVIS Elisabeth 87% 13% 1% - - -
207 SANTOS Cara 21% 70% 9% - - - -
207 LENDIS Gabrielle 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
209 KIMMEY Allison 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.