Event Preview
January NACFriday, January 5, 2024 at 8:30 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4730 | 5181 - 4305 |
| 5 - 8 | 4182 | 4299 - 4049 |
| 9 - 16 | 3948 | 4133 - 3815 |
| 17 - 32 | 3642 | 3794 - 3554 |
| 33 - 64 | 3396 | 3530 - 3210 |
| 65 - 128 | 2902 | 3222 - 2570 |
| 129 - 156 | 2387 | 2970 - 1831 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.