Event Preview
January NACFriday, January 5, 2024 at 8:30 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4730 | 5181 - 4305 |
| 5 - 8 | 4183 | 4276 - 4077 |
| 9 - 16 | 3948 | 4133 - 3815 |
| 17 - 32 | 3641 | 3794 - 3546 |
| 33 - 64 | 3394 | 3554 - 3210 |
| 65 - 128 | 2906 | 3223 - 2594 |
| 129 - 156 | 2386 | 2970 - 1831 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.