5th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 22, 2022 at 2:30 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
2 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
3 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 34%
3 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
5 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
6 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
7 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
8 DERRICK Blake 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
9 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 38%
10 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
10 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
12 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
13 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
14 KAWADA Sebastien 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
15 UHLIG Cole 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
16 PETROV Mikhail 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
17 YI William 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
18 NGAI Julian 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
19 LE Jacob 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
20 CHANG Jeremy 100% 97% 80% 41% 8% 1%
21 BIELER Mason 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
22 DENG David 100% 94% 65% 24% 3% -
23 BURRES kenneth 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% -
24 LING Carson Jr 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% -
25 CHUN Dashel 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% -
26 ZHANG Graham 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
27 BORG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
28 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
29 TSOI Spencer 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
30 TAN Pyron 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
31 ZHANG Jacob 100% 72% 29% 5% - - -
32 WONG Evan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
33 UPENDER West 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
34 ZHAN Kevin 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
35 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
36 FU Bryan 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
37 CHEN Matthew 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
38 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 30% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.