Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GARRETT Samuel | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 2 | LOGUE Ethan D. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 3 | JAKLITSCH Michael (Mike) T. | D V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 3 | GREEN Jabreel | V V V D V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 5 | ZMURK Emma M. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 6 | BARNETT Devin | V D V V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 7 | NICHOLSON Dominic A. | V D V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 8 | LIN Ashley | D D V V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 9 | WELDON Benjamin | D V V V V V | V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 10 | GU Aidan | D V V D V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 11 | SEO Shawn | V V V D V D | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 12 | CHA Eugenie | V V D D V | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 13 | RAJ Shrey | V D V V D | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 14 | LOWE-THORPE Tyler | D V D V D V | V D | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| 15 | GOLDBERG Artie M. | V D V D D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 16 | PRAKASH Hari | V D D D V D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 17 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | V V D D V V | D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 18 | RICHARD Silas | V V D V D V | D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 19 | LUONG Allen | V V D D D V | D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 20 | CHANG Celine A. | D V V D D V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 21 | LOGUE Paul | D V D V D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 22 | CHENG Zijun | D D V V V D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 23 | CHIEM Karen | D D V V V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 24 | LOWELL Justin | V D D V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 25 | LAI Aaron | D V D D D V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 26 | SCHOLL Zander | V D D V D D | D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 27 | DUONG Zoey | D V D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 28 | ASTLE Stephen | D D V D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 29 | BRINEN-STOUT Jared P. | V D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 30 | DUONG John | D D V D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 31 | MA Katelyn | D D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 32 | NASH Jay | D D D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 33 | CONTI Braeden | D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 34 | FORDER Jonathon | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.