W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Open 2022

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 11:30 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GALEMORE Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2%
3 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
3 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
5 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 100% 99% 85% 35%
5 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
7 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
8 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
9 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
10 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 100% 91% 46% 9% 1%
11 ROBERTS Zachary 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
12 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 92% 64% 25% 4%
13 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 56% 16% 2% -
14 MILES Pam 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
15 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
16 KASPER Lucia 100% 96% 69% 13% 1%
17 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
18 OGLE Ian 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
19 MEARS Caleb 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 2%
20 THOMAS Ryan 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1%
21 PAQUETTE Emily 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 3%
22 UHRICH Reese 100% 97% 60% 15% 1%
23 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
24 HILL Ian 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
25 KRONAUGE Andersen 100% 58% 13% 1% -
26 CRUM Elayne 100% 84% 40% 6% - -
27 WILSON Reagan Ophelia 100% 90% 30% 3% -
28 BURNSIDE Caden 100% 74% 18% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.