W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Open 2022

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 2:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BALDWIN Michael B. - 3% 16% 40% 34% 7%
2 FENKER William M. - - - - 6% 47% 46%
3 BOYLAN Nickolas - - - 3% 27% 71%
3 RUBAN Misha - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
5 CLARK Keagan - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
6 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 7% 28% 39% 22% 4% -
7 LIN Felix 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
8 OTT Alexander 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
9 BOYD Lucas - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
10 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. - 5% 23% 43% 28% 1%
11 LEE Matthew 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
12 NEWTON Alexander 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3% -
13 WALKER Terra 2% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1%
14 DREYER Nadia S. 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
14 DREHER Matthew 13% 40% 34% 12% 2% -
16 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
17 ZESSIN Michael A. - 3% 18% 42% 32% 5%
18 YOHN Cort 6% 31% 44% 17% 2% -
19 WATTS Liam - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
20 CASSIDY Connor J. 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1% -
21 OLIVER Isaac 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
22 ROSADO Leah 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
23 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
23 CHAVES Kobey 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
25 KENNEDY Aidan 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.