W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Open 2022

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 2:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BALDWIN Michael B. 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 7%
2 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 46%
3 BOYLAN Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 RUBAN Misha 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
5 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
6 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 100% 93% 64% 26% 4% -
7 LIN Felix 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
8 OTT Alexander 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
9 BOYD Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
10 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 1%
11 LEE Matthew 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
12 NEWTON Alexander 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
13 WALKER Terra 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
14 DREYER Nadia S. 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
14 DREHER Matthew 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% -
16 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
17 ZESSIN Michael A. 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 5%
18 YOHN Cort 100% 94% 63% 19% 2% -
19 WATTS Liam 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
20 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
21 OLIVER Isaac 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
22 ROSADO Leah 100% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
23 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
23 CHAVES Kobey 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
25 KENNEDY Aidan 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.