CFFA Stab-a-thon

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 28, 2022 at 12:30 PM

Tileston Gym - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 GERAGHTY Michael P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 72%
2 AMOROSO John 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
3 CHEN Wesley 100% 100% 99% 86% 40%
3 CLICK Aiden 100% 99% 86% 49% 12%
5 LAUSI Patrick M. 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
6 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 95% 66% 19%
7 CRAWFORD Charles (Marston) M. 100% 99% 77% 30% 3%
8 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 76% 32% 7% 1%
9 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 93% 55% 8% -
10 LE Kevin 100% 68% 22% 3% -
11 RICKMAN Ian 100% 100% 93% 62% 10%
12 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 94% 64% 20% 2%
13 HORTELANO Ethan 100% 100% 96% 74% 25%
14 CLICK Tristan 100% 99% 85% 43% 1%
15 SAKO Ayrton I. 100% 84% 44% 11% 1%
16 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 100% 75% 29% 4% -
17 SANFORD Kenyatta L. 100% 92% 49% 13% 1%
18 WHITE Joshua H. 100% 90% 59% 22% 3%
19 HUDSON Jeremy 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
20 PLAZA-GASALLA Gloria 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
21 NANCE Jonathan W. 100% 92% 54% 13% -
22 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 95% 65% 22% 2%
23 NICOLAU Isaac 100% 66% 19% 2% -
24 ZELINSKI A B. 100% 75% 27% 4% -
25 BURDOO Nora 100% 45% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.