Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LOWE-THORPE Tyler | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 2 | GARRETT Samuel | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 3 | ZHANG Eric | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 3 | SARKAR Agniv | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 5 | ZAYDMAN David M. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 6 | WONG Kevin | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 7 | SARKAR Anish | D V V D V D | V V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 8 | YEE Johnathan | V D D V D | V V V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 9 | LOGUE Ethan D. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 10 | GOLDBERG Artie M. | V D V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 11 | HANSEN Kira | D V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 12 | NICHOLSON Dimitri E. | V V D D V V | V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 13 | NICHOLSON Dominic A. | D V V D V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 14 | NG Biwon | V V V D D | V D | 0.9 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 15 | LUCERO-OLSON Aydin | V D D D V | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 16 | PRAKASH Hari | D V V D D V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 17 | GUPTA Karan | V D V V V | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 18 | KUO Elvin | V D D V V D | D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 19 | RICHARD Silas | D V V V D D | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 20 | LOUIE Sarah | V D D D V V | D | 0.9 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 21 | FERRER Alison | D D D V V | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 22 | SITTER Gregoire | D V D D V V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 23 | SRIVASTAVA Arya | V D D V V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 24 | LUO Xiao Ran | V D D D V V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 25 | SCHOLL Zander | D D D V V | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 26 | KUO Rylan | D V D V D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 26 | CHANG Celine A. | D D V V D D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 28 | RAJ Shrey | V D V D D D | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 29 | DUONG Zoey | D D V V D D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 30 | GU Aidan | V D V D D D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 31 | KUO Michael | D V V D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 32 | CONTI Braeden | D V D D D V | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 33 | AHMED Rania | D D D V V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 35 | LIN Ashley | D D D D D | D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| 36 | MANSINGH Michael | D V D D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 37 | LAI Aaron | V D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 38 | ASTLE Stephen | V D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 39 | CHIEM Karen | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 40 | LOWELL Justin | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 41 | DUONG John | D D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.