The Duelist Open 21

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 24, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Belleville High School - Belleville, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BECKER Thomas 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
2 SCHULTZ Alex 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
3 STEIBER Zane T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
3 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
6 MCDONNELL Michael 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
7 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
8 MARTIN Liam N. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
9 OH Kevin Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
10 KLINE R. Jay 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
11 PENA Elijah N. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
12 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
13 HAYENGA Gary M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
14 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 23% 2%
15 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
16 KAROLAK Dale W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
17 ANA Ionut (Johnny) A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 2%
18 LEIGHTON Eleanor T. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
19 VANDERLINDEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
20 BENYOVSZKY Barnabas 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
21 SCHRANK Mitchell 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
22 BROWN Amanda 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
23 CACCAMO Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
24 GOODMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
25 DALTON Matthew 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
26 KWOK Roland 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
27 VANDERLINDEN Mira 100% 99% 94% 76% 46% 17% 3%
28 CHANG Aubin J. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
29 RATNER Benjamin A. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
30 DU Drake 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 6% -
31 PROVANCE Allison N. 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
32 ROZICH Ian M. 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
33 LEIGHTON Louise N. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
34 PROVANCE Amanda R. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
35 GREEN Zachary J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 1%
36 OWENS Andrew J. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
37 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
38 SCHULTZ Michelle M. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
39 ALARIE James 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
40 MIESMER Nicholas 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
41 HOORNSTRA David 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
42 OJE Chuku 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
43 DRAYTON Hannah 100% 58% 19% 3% - - -
45 MITKUS Marianne J. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
46 BUTLER John 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
47 GREEN Scott D. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
48 GRIFFIN Martha A. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
49 JAMES Erin 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.