Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
2 SU Landon 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 66% 16%
3 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
5 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
6 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
7 WU Richard 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
8 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
9 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
10 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
10 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
12 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
12 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
14 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
15 MOL Justin 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
16 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
17 AN Chihun 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
18 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
19 KATZ Ryan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
20 CHUNG Connor 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
21 TANG Shu Hon 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
22 JENSBY Jason 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
23 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
24 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
25 LEE Andrew 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
26 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% -
27 VAUGHN Jason 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
28 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 98% 78% 36% 8% 1%
29 WANG daniel 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
30 DECK Tyson 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
31 MCCONNELL Quinlan 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
32 LIU Kevin 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
33 HO Jacob 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
34 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 91% 49% 12% 1% -
35 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
36 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2%
37 WILKINSON James 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
38 CARTAGENA Caden A. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
39 LIN Philip T. 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
40 BONETTI Brayden 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
41 LIN Felix 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
42 ZHOU James Y. 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
43 WALKE Devin 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
44 GUREVICH Savely 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
45 XU Justin 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
46 STORER Julian 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
47 STOLL Fuller 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
48 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 42% 7% 1% - -
49 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
50 GRUNDY Patrick 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.