Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
2 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
3 AN Chihun 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
5 MOL Spencer 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
6 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
7 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
8 FERBER Oliver E. 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
9 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
10 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
11 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
12 BALDWIN Michael B. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
13 DECK Tyson 100% 94% 58% 19% 3% - -
14 WU Richard 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
15 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
16 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
17 MOL Justin 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
18 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
19 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
20 WALKE Devin 100% 97% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
21 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 97% 78% 43% 15% 3% -
22 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
23 COHEN Charlie 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
24 MIKOW Dax 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
25 FARAON Paulus 100% 91% 49% 14% 2% - -
26 FUHRIG Max 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
27 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 33% 4% - - - -
28 GRUNDY Patrick 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.