August Friday Night Fencing

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, August 12, 2022 at 7:00 PM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Noblesville, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ALTHARDT Michael W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 60%
2 HANAHAN Thomas M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
3 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 MENTELE Caden 100% 99% 85% 42% 2%
5 FANGMAN Daniel L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
6 LAUER Michael 100% 98% 82% 43% 8%
7 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 33%
8 RIPLEY Ian 100% 97% 73% 25% 1%
9 EROTAS Samuel 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
10 ARMBRUSTER David 100% 100% 94% 66% 22% 3%
11 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 91% 58% 19% 2%
12 CRAPNELL Daniel 100% 89% 48% 12% 1%
13 GUILFORD Corey 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
14 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 97% 76% 34% 5%
15 SHOU Phillip 100% 61% 19% 3% -
16 MILLER Jackson 100% 95% 65% 20% 2% -
17 ORGAN Jason 100% 52% 12% 1% -
18 ORGAN Drew 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
19 STOCK Olivia 100% 92% 56% 16% 1% -
20 NGUYEN Tran N. 100% 79% 36% 8% 1%
21 SPURGEON William 100% 91% 50% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.