The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The Cascade Clash | Portland SYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 1:30 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Beaverton, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - - 3% 24% 73%
2 LING Eddie - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
3 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - - 7% 38% 55%
3 FUKUDA Diego - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
5 NICOLETTI Luca - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
6 MORROW Brenden - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
7 KIAYIAS Aris - 4% 20% 42% 28% 6%
8 DERRICK Blake - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 4%
9 LO Preston - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
10 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
11 DONG Quintin - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
12 YU Jason - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
13 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
14 WU Alber Y. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
15 LEE Christopher T. - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
16 RASMUSSEN Sage - - 5% 27% 50% 17%
17 PARK Rion - 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
18 KIM Daniel Y. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
19 RAJ Jay - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
20 TSAY Jordan R. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
21 ZHANG Graham 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
22 DESERANNO Leander 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
23 HIRAMOTO Satoshi 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
24 ROZALSKI Eli 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
25 ZHANG Lucas 8% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
26 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - 6% 25% 40% 23% 4%
27 UHLIG Cole 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
28 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
29 YANG Charles 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
30 LI Richard 1% 20% 45% 29% 5% -
31 YUE Jackson 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
32 FUKUDA Brando 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
33 ZHOU Ryan 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
34 CHUN Dashel 5% 39% 41% 14% 2% -
35 LE Jacob 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
36 TULYAG Azim - 9% 35% 41% 13% 1%
37 LU Kevin 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3%
38 MANIKTALA Suvir 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
38 WANG Li 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
40 WANDJI NANA Noah - 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
41 LIANG Ethan 43% 46% 10% 1% - - -
42 HAYES Stewart 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
43 PARK William 8% 35% 38% 16% 3% -
44 MORROW Sean 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
45 PARK David 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
46 NEICE William 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
47 YAN Rian 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
48 PETROV Mikhail 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
49 WU Thomas 19% 41% 29% 10% 1% - -
50 CHANG Joseph 76% 22% 2% - - -
51 IYOKI Sean 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
52 REYNOLDS Jordan 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
53 CHOI Elliot 30% 50% 18% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.