Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DERSHWITZ Eli R. - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
2 JI Cody Walter 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
3 SMITH Jared C. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
3 YEN Darren - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
5 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - 3% 24% 73%
6 WOOD Elden S. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
7 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
8 BOLTON Braydon A. 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
9 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
10 COHEN Josef A. - - - - 3% 25% 71%
11 SIMAK Joseph P. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
12 SO Hananiah - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
13 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 18%
14 MORRILL William - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
15 LIANG Connor - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
16 DHINGRA Gian K. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
17 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 2%
18 SKEETE Kamar A. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
19 ATTIG Will T. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
20 HAMMERSTROM Jared 1% 8% 25% 37% 25% 5%
21 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 2% 10% 29% 41% 19%
22 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
23 KOGAN Benjamin 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
24 LINSKY Matthew 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
25 POPE Nico 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
26 KIM Stephen E. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
27 XU William 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
28 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
29 SOHN Kevin J. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
30 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - 3% 19% 49% 29%
31 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% -
32 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
33 LINDER James (Luke) L. - 1% 9% 39% 51%
34 LIMB Matthew G. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
35 RAI Avin - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
36 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
37 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
38 KIM Shaun M. 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
39 ZUBATIY Samuel 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
40 LO Joshua H. - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3%
41 JEAN Noe T. - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
42 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. - - 2% 14% 45% 39%
42 NADILE Henry V. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
44 GEFELL Andrew P. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
45 CHAN Matthew 6% 27% 40% 23% 4% -
46 SHOMAN Noah 18% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
47 WU Mengke 11% 40% 37% 11% 1%
48 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
49 BERGER Oliver 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
50 YANG Ziyi 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
51 BOOTH Zaheer - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
52 ESCUETA Tony V. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
53 BARBER William S. 7% 27% 37% 23% 5% -
54 LEE Justin 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
55 TONG ZACHARY 5% 24% 40% 26% 5% -
56 DENG Andrew 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
57 TANN Justin 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
58 SHOMAN Zachary 17% 40% 32% 11% 1% -
59 MARGULIES William 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
60 FENG Leo 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
61 DENNER Lysander H. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
62 LILOV Neil - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
63 DU Gavin J. 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
64 KAYDALIN Artyom 6% 25% 36% 25% 8% 1%
65 GHAYALOD ansh 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
66 JEFFORDS Alexander 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
67 BERMAN Luca 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
68 DENNER Maximilian P. 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
69 HAN Daniel Y. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
70 WALKER Dalton F. 1% 8% 32% 45% 14%
71 ZHOU Matthew R. - 3% 15% 32% 34% 14% 1%
72 HJERPE Wade H. 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
73 JOHNSON Langston C. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
73 WANG Eric Y. 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% -
75 LIU kelly 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
76 MAKLIN Edward P. 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
77 BULL Anderson 18% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
78 NIL Michael Y. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
79 HUANG Ethan F. 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
80 CHEONG Heonjae 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
81 HONG Vincent Q. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
82 BERRIO Carter E. 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
83 WANG Nicolas 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
84 HOLZ William A. 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
85 NAZLYMOV Andrei 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
86 DODRILL Grant 7% 34% 42% 16% 2%
87 JINICH Ilan R. 44% 42% 13% 1% -
88 JIANG Anthony 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
89 MEHTA Sachin N. - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
90 CHON Taylor A. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
91 HOLZ Daniel 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
92 CHIN Matthew W. 4% 23% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
93 ZENG Noah 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
94 ERMAKOV Lev 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
95 QIU Nathan 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
96 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
96 MCCARTHY Gabriel 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
98 GREENBAUM Ian L. 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
99 STONE Esmond A. 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
100 KIM Matthew 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
101 ZHENG Edward L. 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
102 YUN Jake 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
103 MORRILL Justin 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.