Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DERSHWITZ Eli R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
2 JI Cody Walter 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
3 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
5 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
6 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
7 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
8 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
9 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
10 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
11 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
12 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 4%
13 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
14 MORRILL William 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
15 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
16 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
17 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21% 2%
18 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
19 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
20 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
21 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
22 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
23 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
24 LINSKY Matthew 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
25 POPE Nico 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
26 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
27 XU William 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
28 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
29 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
30 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
31 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% -
32 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
33 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
34 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
35 RAI Avin 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
36 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
37 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
38 KIM Shaun M. 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
39 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
40 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
41 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
42 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 39%
42 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
44 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
45 CHAN Matthew 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% -
46 SHOMAN Noah 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
47 WU Mengke 100% 89% 49% 12% 1%
48 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
49 BERGER Oliver 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
50 YANG Ziyi 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
51 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 22%
52 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
53 BARBER William S. 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
54 LEE Justin 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
55 TONG ZACHARY 100% 95% 72% 32% 5% -
56 DENG Andrew 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
57 TANN Justin 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
58 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
59 MARGULIES William 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
60 FENG Leo 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
61 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
62 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
63 DU Gavin J. 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
64 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
65 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
66 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
67 BERMAN Luca 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
68 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
69 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
70 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 99% 92% 60% 14%
71 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
72 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
73 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
73 WANG Eric Y. 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
75 LIU kelly 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
76 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
77 BULL Anderson 100% 82% 42% 10% 1% -
78 NIL Michael Y. 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
79 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
80 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
81 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
82 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
83 WANG Nicolas 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
84 HOLZ William A. 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
85 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
86 DODRILL Grant 100% 93% 59% 17% 2%
87 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 56% 14% 1% -
88 JIANG Anthony 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
89 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
90 CHON Taylor A. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
91 HOLZ Daniel 100% 95% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
92 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
93 ZENG Noah 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
94 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
95 QIU Nathan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
96 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
96 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
98 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
99 STONE Esmond A. 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
100 KIM Matthew 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
101 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
102 YUN Jake 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
103 MORRILL Justin 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.