Colorado Cup #5

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, June 4, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Fencing Academy of Denver - Littleton, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TAFOYA Devin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 SIMMONS Ariel Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 60%
3 CARRIER Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 16%
3 SPIER Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 37%
5 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
6 CHOI Kaiden 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
7 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
8 ETCHELL Thomas 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 2%
9 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 95% 65% 15% 1%
10 AGGELER Donovan 100% 86% 47% 13% 1% -
11 KENT Elizabeth 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
12 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
13 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 94% 67% 20% 2%
14 DOMASHOVETZ Greg 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 9%
15 CHI Chelsea 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
16 HARR Carver 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% -
17 EVANS Tyler 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
18 ALTMAN Jeff 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 9%
18 TOLLEFSEN Zachary 100% 98% 79% 39% 8% -
20 MCADOO Declan 100% 99% 81% 27% 3% -
21 LUNA MARTINEZ Luis 100% 100% 94% 66% 23% 1%
22 BLEICHER Simon 100% 90% 55% 16% 1% -
23 ERKENBECK Nathan 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
24 ANDERSON Claire 100% 99% 83% 32% 5% -
25 BARBER Brendan 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
26 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 91% 59% 20% 2% -
27 CAREY Michele 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
28 KENT David "Chip" 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% -
28 NIEMIEC Mark 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1%
30 KENT David 100% 91% 58% 20% 2% -
31 LEWIS Rachel 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
32 RUSSELL Alison 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% -
33 CABANIS Eliza 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
34 WELCH Bryant 100% 96% 37% 4% - -
35 BLANCHARD Timothy 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
36 PEARSON Arwa 100% 67% 15% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.