Arnold Fencing Classic

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, March 2, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAURON Sean M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
2 CULLEN Daniel F. 100% 100% 93% 60% 21% 3%
3 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
5 KARAUSKY Joshua C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
6 MARTIN Nathan C 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
7 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 24%
8 FREDERIKSEN Ean L. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
9 MASON Alexander T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
10 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
11 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
12 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
13 HAYENGA Gary M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
14 PEDERSEN Trevor 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
15 SZABO Benedek H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
16 MARTIN Liam N. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
17 YI Kyle 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
18 LI Jesse 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
19 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
20 DAVIES Morgan 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
21 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
22 RUSSELL Ben 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
23 KIM Minjun 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
24 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
25 HANXU Richard A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
26 VAN TASSEL Schuyler 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
27 FREDERIKSEN Elijah L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
28 ANEZ Daniel A. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
29 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 99% 91% 69% 38% 13% 2%
30 MU Lejia 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
31 CLINGSHOFF Christopher 100% 97% 74% 32% 6% -
32 PARK Minchan 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1%
33 RESHEIDAT Shadi 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
34 BEATTY Brendon J. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
35 DITTEL Aaron K. 100% 98% 80% 44% 15% 3% -
36 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
37 OCHS Bradley C. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
38 LARTZ John A. 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
39 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
40 TOOMEY Brian L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
41 KLINE R. Jay 100% 90% 58% 23% 4% -
42 TATE Leon J. 100% 81% 21% 2% - -
43 HANE Matthew J. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
44 EVANS Allen L. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
45 MCDONNELL Michael 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
47 SOKOLOV Andrii A. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
48 CLARK Carson 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
49 SCHNUR Matthew P. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
50 HINGSBERGEN Ryan 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
51 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
52 KELSEY Ryan 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
53 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
54 YANG Brandon 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
55 DICKSON Tim 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
56 KNOWLES Ethan 100% 39% 5% - - -
57 MCNICHOLAS Evan M. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
58 BACKOS Ryan P. 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
59 NOCERINO Nicholas T. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
60 YU Kevin 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
61 WANG Albert 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
62 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 74% 21% 3% - - -
64 MORRIS Alex K. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.