Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 29, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
2 ZILINSKIY Eduard 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 93% 59% 17% 2%
3 CHOI Isaac 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
5 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
6 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
7 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
8 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 98% 80% 38% 5%
9 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
10 LI Brian X 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 12%
11 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
12 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 7%
13 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 13%
14 ZHOU Justin 100% 98% 71% 24% 3% -
15 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
16 KLEIN Johannes 100% 89% 54% 18% 2% -
17 GUAN Nathan 100% 95% 68% 26% 5% -
18 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 93% 60% 19% 1%
19 HSU Shion Tian 100% 100% 93% 63% 21% 2%
20 POBIS Chandler R. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
21 ZHOU Gavin 100% 96% 76% 38% 8% 1%
22 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 91% 55% 15% 1%
23 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3%
24 LAWLER Aidan 100% 100% 97% 75% 27% 2%
24 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
26 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 79% 25% 4% - -
27 STOCK Jordan 100% 97% 58% 15% 1% -
28 CROPLEY Theodore 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
29 PARKS Isaac 100% 67% 18% 2% - -
30 BEAVER Aaron 100% 93% 41% 8% 1% -
31 LOESER Jacob 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
32 WAI Andreas 100% 20% 1% - - -
33 LU Henry 100% 15% 1% - - -
34 HOSELTON Spencer 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% -
35 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 63% 16% 2% - -
36 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 69% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.