January NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, January 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
3 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
5 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
6 ZUO Xiaofan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
7 BOTELLO Natalia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
8 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
9 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
10 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
11 LACSON Sarah 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
12 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
13 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
14 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
15 GORDON Tamar 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
16 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
17 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
18 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
19 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
20 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
21 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
22 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 5%
23 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 14%
24 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
25 CHEN Jane 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1%
26 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
27 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
28 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
29 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
30 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
31 SUN Alyssa 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
32 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
33 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
34 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
35 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
36 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
37 LU Amy 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
38 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
39 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
40 WU Erica L. 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 3%
41 SADIK HANA 100% 99% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
42 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 28%
43 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
44 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 36% 4%
45 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
45 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
47 HE Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
48 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
49 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
50 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
51 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
52 LIANG Megan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
53 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
54 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
55 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 10%
56 GHAYALOD reya 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
57 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
58 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
59 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 8%
60 JUNG Irene 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 6% -
61 SHI Cathleen 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
62 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
63 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 85% 41% 9% 1% -
64 NEIBART Fiona 100% 95% 68% 24% 3% -
65 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
66 FANG Victoria W. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 1%
67 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2%
68 KIM Catherine 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
69 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
70 SINHA Anika 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
71 CHING Sapphira S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
72 MOYA Keona L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
73 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
74 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 91% 57% 17% 2% - -
75 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 93% 55% 15% 2% -
76 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
77 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
77 XU Ellen 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
79 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
80 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1%
81 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
82 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
83 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
84 COLTER Aurora 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
85 WU Helen 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
86 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13%
87 BILILIES Sophia 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
88 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
89 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
90 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% -
91 HOLMES Emma 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
92 CHANG Emily 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
93 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
94 SADOVA Olga 100% 97% 45% 8% 1% - -
95 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
95 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
97 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
98 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 99% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
99 KER Grace 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
99 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
99 LIU Sydney 100% 83% 35% 7% 1% - -
102 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
103 HUANG MADELINE 100% 96% 64% 24% 5% 1% -
104 NGUYEN Siena 100% 93% 37% 7% 1% - -
105 ZHANG Rongruo 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
105 CHANG Audrey 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% - -
107 TUNG Renee 100% 69% 23% 3% - - -
108 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
109 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
110 YANG Lea 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
111 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 95% 63% 20% 3% -
112 HURST Kennedy 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
113 CHEN Xinyan 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
114 CHIN Elise 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
115 TONG Jessie 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
116 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 5% -
117 BARTON Mele 100% 79% 35% 6% 1% - -
118 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% - -
119 HU Michelle 100% 73% 26% 5% - - -
119 PENG Florella 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
121 CHIANG Emily 100% 99% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
122 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
123 EVANS Madelynn 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
123 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
125 WU Lanting 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
126 WEI Vivian W. 100% 98% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
127 MULAGARI Sadhika 100% 75% 25% 4% - - -
128 IYER Arushi 100% 8% - - - - -
129 NGUYEN Ella 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
130 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
130 TSAI Anna A. 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
132 ZENG Megan 100% 58% 15% 1% - -
133 YAO Rainie 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
134 CHAN ava 100% 8% - - - - -
135 MORAN Rhea 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
135 CHO Michelle 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
135 CHEN Athena 100% 36% 5% - - - -
138 KIM Elyssa 100% 15% 1% - - - -
139 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 37% 5% - - -
140 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 23% 2% - - - -
141 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.