Richmond Winter RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, February 12, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
2 HUANG Eythan 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 1%
3 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
3 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61% 16%
5 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
6 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
7 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53% 12%
8 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
9 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
10 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
11 TANG Albert 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
12 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
13 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
14 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
15 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
16 YAP Nathan 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
17 TANG August L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
18 ZHAO Adam 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
19 LI Lianhan 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
20 SEMP Iain 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
21 WANG Winston 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
22 JIANG Bowang 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
23 SONG Austin 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
24 LIU Ryan 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
25 BOWLES Kevin 100% 97% 72% 28% 3% - -
26 YU William 100% 66% 15% 2% - - -
27 RILEY Colin T. 100% 89% 49% 12% 1% - -
28 LEE Ethan 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
29 VADEN Oliver 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 1%
30 PARRISH Evan 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% -
31 PAN Edwin 100% 50% 13% 2% - -
32 ZAIDI Adil 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
33 KOKE Matthew C. 100% 99% 86% 48% 9% 1% -
34 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
35 HARPER Wesley 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
36 LARSON Winston 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
37 ZHANG Alex 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
38 NOLAN Tyler 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
39 SHAW Spencer 100% 62% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.