Fortune Fencing SYC/RCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Friday, March 18, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 MULCAHY Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
3 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 6%
3 CARCELLER Jeremias 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
5 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
6 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
7 CHIEN Ian 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
8 TANG Zheng 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 10% 1%
9 HUANG Yidong Allen 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
10 BO Genero 100% 99% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
11 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
12 QU RuiTing 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
13 OBERDERFER Viktor 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
14 WU Nathan 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
15 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
16 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 33% 7%
17 DAI Chengwen 100% 96% 71% 33% 9% 1% < 1%
18 HAN Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 31%
19 JAMES Kaden 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
20 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
21 SHIH Derek 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
22 SHOURIE Neel 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2% -
23 CHEN Aiden 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
24 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
25 RONG Marcus 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
26 LI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
27 KIM Evan 100% 72% 32% 9% 1% - -
28 ROMAN Anton 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% 1%
29 KIM Lucas 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
30 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 5%
31 FERRIERE Theo 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
32 SHOURIE Seth 100% 47% 11% 2% - - -
33 LI Stephen 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
34 MA kevin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
35 ARMSTRONG Hendry 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
36 LIU Alrik SiWei 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
37 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 100% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
38 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 6% -
39 MILLIKAN Aaron 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
40 DU Evan 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
41 DING Max 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
42 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 89% 52% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.