SoCal Scholastic Fencing League Individual Foil #2

Men's High School Foil

Sunday, February 6, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Chaminade High School - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
2 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
3 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56%
3 REDDINGTON Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 22%
5 DE LA FUENTE Ian 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
6 LAKE Wyatt J. 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
7 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
8 HUANG Alston 100% 89% 51% 16% 2% - -
9 NGUYEN Liam 100% 100% 99% 79% 39% 10% 1%
10 HAHN Jacob 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% < 1% -
11 MESERVE Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 31%
12 BUTLER Owen 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
13 DALVA Michael 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
14 BRENNAN Ty 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
15 HARRIS Rhonen 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
16 CHIN Yit-Meng 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
17 STEIGLITZ Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
18 NA Larry 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1% -
19 RAMOS Russell K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
20 GHOTANIAN Marc 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
21 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 92% 48% 9% - -
22 KUO Jayden 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
23 YORK Lucas 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
24 GALAVIZ MacArthur 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
25 MARKS Ryan 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
26 GRAPHIA Gabriel 100% 79% 19% 1% - - -
27 SMITH Jeremiah 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
28 REECE Chapin 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
29 RIORDAN Micah 100% 93% 65% 24% 4% -
30 CONWAY Matthew 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% -
31 CROUTCH Justin 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
32 HORWATT Eliyah 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
33 MYERS Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
34 SOSTCHEN Jacob 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
35 WALTHERS Bjorn 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
36 GONZALEZ Pablo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
37 WACZIARG Simon 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
38 DESPRES Kaz 100% 100% 94% 65% 21% 2%
39 LEWIS Jake 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
40 CROUTCH Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30% 3%
41 NORDEN Max 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 2%
42 DAY Avo 100% 95% 69% 28% 4% -
43 THORNTON Maximilian 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
44 PERDIGAO Cooper 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
45 JUAREZ Semaje 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
46 SAUTER Luke 100% 38% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.