The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Garden State RYC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 10, 2022 at 2:45 PM

The Sportsplex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 2% 19% 79%
2 CHENG Logan - 5% 23% 43% 29%
3 MO Ethan - - 6% 31% 51% 12%
3 HOU Gaven - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
5 ZHAO Ryan 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
6 REN Ryan 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
7 GRIGORIEV Michael - 6% 25% 41% 25% 4%
8 YU Haochen 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
9 LU Hansen 2% 16% 37% 34% 10%
10 NOVIKOV Yann 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
11 KIAYIAS Alexander 49% 40% 9% 1% - -
12 WANG Ancen 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% -
13 KINGSLEY Griffin 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
14 JAZWINSKI Ryan 4% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
15 ZHANG Zijie 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
16 BAS Jonathan 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
17 KO Caleb 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
18 ZHAI Derrick - 2% 15% 37% 36% 10%
19 BEYDOUN Sam 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 1%
20 SHARMA Ari - 2% 15% 43% 34% 7%
21 MA Lucas 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
22 NABASSOUA Djibril 14% 37% 34% 13% 2%
23 BAI Austin - 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
24 JIANG Kody 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
25 KIAYIAS Anthony 20% 41% 30% 8% 1%
26 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
27 ULYSSE Jacob 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
28 SHOU Raymond 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
29 PITERBARG Lev 3% 23% 42% 26% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.