The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Windy City SYC/RCC 5

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 3:15 PM

Deerfield, IL - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
2 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
3 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
3 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
5 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
7 ROY Layla 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
8 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 100% 97% 74% 34% 6%
9 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
10 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
11 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
12 SASSE Savitri A. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
13 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 7%
14 KIM April 100% 98% 86% 51% 14% 1%
15 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
16 WILLIS Fletcher L. 100% 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
17 KOKES Gwendolen 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
18 BASSIK Eva 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
19 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
20 ZHENG Julie 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
21 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
22 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
23 HWANG Jungmin 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
24 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
25 TAN Eden E. 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
26 BAWA Sahana 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
27 LEE Fiona E. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
28 KNOPF Jenna G. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
29 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
30 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
30 HOANG Mai 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
32 TUCKER ALARCON Frida 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
33 SHINKAREV Olga 100% 100% 96% 71% 30% 5%
34 PFLAUM Philippa J. 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
35 GOLLNICK Mira 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
36 RAZA Nadia A. 100% 59% 19% 3% - -
37 SHELTON Devyn 100% 86% 31% 5% - -
38 SKOURLETOS Maria 100% 91% 56% 21% 4% - -
39 ANDERSON Elizabeth 100% 34% 5% - - - -
40 ZHOU Sophia 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
41 JACOBSON Leah 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
42 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
43 PARK Leah 100% 29% 2% - - -
44 CUI Katelyn 100% 93% 49% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.