Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 29, 2017 at 2:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center - Miami, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUO Jessica Zi Jia - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
2 APELIAN Katherine 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
3 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
3 TALAVERA Daena - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
5 KOO Rachel A. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
6 LESLIE Ryanne T. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
7 MASSICK Laine - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
8 JING Alexandra - 5% 26% 41% 24% 4%
9 ZHENG Ivy - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
10 JING Emily - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
11 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
12 PEVZNER Victoria - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
13 HALL Velma - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
14 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca - 2% 11% 32% 38% 17% 1%
15 NANOR Kiesse K. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
16 XU Christine 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
17 LUNG Katerina - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
18 CHEN Kelly - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
19 SHAW Kayla M. - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9% 1%
20 KOENIG Charlotte R. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
21 KIM Rachael 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
22 CHUNG Rachel J. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
23 HECKMANN Emma - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
24 DAVIA Daniella V. - 1% 6% 19% 33% 31% 11%
25 SHEN Annabel 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
26 PAPADAKIS Lily 1% 12% 34% 36% 16% 2%
27 PALMER Meredith K. 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
28 LEE Montana 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% -
29 SERBAN Samantha M. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 1%
30 ZHANG Alina C. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
31 LIN Emma 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
32 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
33 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 9% 1%
34 JANG Kimberley 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
35 LONG Madeline M. 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
36 CHO Lorin Y. 3% 18% 34% 31% 13% 2%
37 MICHAELSEN Emily 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
38 GAYDOS Sofia C. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
39 SHEN Sophia 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
40 LAM Victoria M. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
41 RASO Olivia 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
41 CHO Claire E. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
43 TOLBA Salma 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
44 LIM Pia 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
45 WONG Sophia M. 1% 8% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
46 ZHAO Aileen Y. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
47 NORTH Zoe M. 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
48 TAN Junqi 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
49 ABD-ELMONIEM Nusayba K. 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
51 STAMICAR Sophie 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
52 GUAN Grace 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
53 SMITH Emilee E. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.