Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 29, 2017 at 2:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center - Miami, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUO Jessica Zi Jia 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
2 APELIAN Katherine 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
3 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
3 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
5 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
6 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
7 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
8 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
9 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
10 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
11 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
12 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
13 HALL Velma 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
14 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
15 NANOR Kiesse K. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
16 XU Christine 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
17 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
18 CHEN Kelly 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
19 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1%
20 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
21 KIM Rachael 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
22 CHUNG Rachel J. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
23 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
24 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 11%
25 SHEN Annabel 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
26 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
27 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
28 LEE Montana 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% -
29 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
30 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
31 LIN Emma 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
32 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
33 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
34 JANG Kimberley 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
35 LONG Madeline M. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
36 CHO Lorin Y. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
37 MICHAELSEN Emily 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
38 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
39 SHEN Sophia 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
40 LAM Victoria M. 100% 89% 57% 21% 3% -
41 RASO Olivia 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
41 CHO Claire E. 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
43 TOLBA Salma 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
44 LIM Pia 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
45 WONG Sophia M. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
46 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
47 NORTH Zoe M. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
48 TAN Junqi 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
49 ABD-ELMONIEM Nusayba K. 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
51 STAMICAR Sophie 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
52 GUAN Grace 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
53 SMITH Emilee E. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.