2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, February 6, 2022 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
2 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
5 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
6 GERRISH William 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 9%
7 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
8 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
9 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 9%
10 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
11 GULCHIN Mark 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
12 CHENG Logan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
13 SION Andrew 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
14 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 15% 2%
15 XIE Jicheng 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
16 HONG Logan 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 11% 1%
17 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
18 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
19 HOU Gaven 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
20 LIU Eric 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
21 TANG Terry 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 22% 3%
22 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
23 BOBROW Silas 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
24 LAO Kevin 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
25 HARRA Alexander 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
26 XU Nathan 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5% -
27 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
28 MCGILLION-MOORE Charles 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
29 WONG Jacob W. 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
30 SICAT Justin 100% 93% 60% 18% 2% - -
31 CHEN Hanson 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
32 BAKSHI Aman 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
33 WANG Ancen 100% 91% 51% 13% 2% - -
34 MOREA Anderson 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
35 SHANNON Jack 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
36 HUANG Jinyao 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
37 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
38 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
39 UNGERER Henry 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
40 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
41 QIAN Zekai 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
42 CHEN Darren 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.